光大证券晨会速递-2025-03-14

Investment Ratings - Semiconductor materials industry is rated as "Buy" due to recovery driven by AI and wafer fab expansions [2] - Low-altitude economy industry is rated as "Buy" with EHang achieving adjusted profitability and positive cash flow [3] - Lithium mining sector is rated as "Add" based on reset cost analysis indicating undervaluation [4] - Aerospace industry is rated as "Add" with growth potential in the chromium industry chain [7] - TMT sector, specifically AsiaInfo Technologies, is rated as "Buy" due to expected growth in AI model delivery business [8] - Traditional Chinese medicine sector, represented by Guoshengtang, is rated as "Buy" due to AI empowerment and market potential [9] Core Insights - The semiconductor materials market is experiencing a rebound, benefiting from AI industry growth and domestic high-end material localization [2] - EHang's revenue for 2024 is projected at 456 million yuan, a 288.5% increase, marking its first year of adjusted profitability [3] - Lithium mining companies are undervalued based on reset cost calculations, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [4] - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to see demand growth, particularly in the chromium supply chain [7] - AsiaInfo Technologies is facing pressure in traditional operator business but has strong growth potential in AI model delivery [8] - Guoshengtang is well-positioned to benefit from aging population trends and supportive policies in traditional Chinese medicine [9] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Materials - The market is recovering due to AI, storage chip replenishment, and wafer fab expansions, with a focus on high-end materials localization [2] - Recommended companies include Yake Technology, Nanda Optoelectronics, and others [2] Low-altitude Economy - EHang's total revenue for 2024 is projected at 456 million yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth [3] - The industry is expected to see rapid progress in EVTOL certification and infrastructure development [3] Lithium Mining - Reset cost analysis indicates that many lithium mining companies are undervalued, suggesting potential investment opportunities [4] - Companies to watch include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and others [4] Aerospace Industry - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to grow, driven by demand in the chromium industry chain [7] - Recommended companies include major oil and gas firms and material companies benefiting from domestic substitution [7] TMT Sector - AsiaInfo Technologies is adjusting profit forecasts but is expected to see growth in AI model delivery [8] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 824 million yuan by 2027 [8] Traditional Chinese Medicine - Guoshengtang is expected to benefit from AI integration and market expansion in traditional Chinese medicine [9] - Projected adjusted net profits for 2024-2026 are 409 million, 548 million, and 691 million yuan respectively [9]