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开发科技(920029):北交所新股申购报告:智慧能源计量全球领军者,境内外协同驱动新型电力系统建设

Investment Rating - The report suggests to pay attention to the company due to its increasing influence in overseas markets and the growing demand for smart metering products driven by the replacement cycle [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Kaifa Technology, is a leader in smart energy metering, focusing on intelligent and digital energy management solutions, with a strong presence in overseas markets [1][8]. - The global smart metering market is expected to reach USD 36.39 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%, indicating significant growth potential for the company [2]. - The company has a strong market position in Europe, with its market share increasing from 9.46% in 2021 to 12.14% in 2023 [3]. Company Overview - Kaifa Technology specializes in smart metering solutions, including smart electricity, water, and gas meters, as well as AMI system software [1][8]. - The company was established in 2016 and has a history of over 20 years in the smart metering industry, having participated in significant projects in Europe [9]. - The company’s revenue is primarily derived from overseas sales, with 92.15% of its revenue coming from international markets in the first half of 2024 [32]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue and net profit for 2024 to be approximately CNY 29.33 billion (+15.02%) and CNY 5.88 billion (+20.64%), respectively [1]. - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of CNY 12.98 billion, with a gross margin of 37.35% [39]. - The company’s main products, smart meters and their core units, accounted for 98.52% of its revenue in the first half of 2024 [39]. Market Dynamics - The global trend towards building smart energy systems and new power systems is driving demand for smart metering infrastructure [2]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing replacement cycle of smart meters, particularly in regions where demand is strong [2][3]. - The company plans to invest CNY 1.017 billion in projects that are expected to enhance its performance [3]. Competitive Positioning - The company’s P/E ratio for 2024 is estimated at 14.27X, compared to the industry average of 18.22X for 2023, indicating potential undervaluation [4]. - The company has established stable relationships with major power companies and contractors, which supports its revenue stability [28].