Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-03-17 10:10Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for SenseTime with a target market value of HKD 79.49 billion [6][7]. Core Insights - The report reviews the development of cloud computing over the past 20 years and anticipates changes brought by AI, highlighting rapid growth in traffic as a core factor [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape, noting the emergence of three tiers of cloud service providers and the expected stabilization of market shares among internet giants [6][7]. - The report identifies AI as a significant driver for structural changes in demand, with expectations for substantial growth in AI cloud services [6][7]. Summary by Sections Cloud Computing Development - The report outlines the evolution of cloud computing from 2006 to 2021, detailing phases from addressing traditional IT architecture issues to the rise of SaaS [8][10][21]. - It notes that IaaS investment and revenue saw high growth from 2017 to 2018, with a focus on government and industry clouds from 2019 to 2020 [21][23]. Competitive Landscape - The report categorizes cloud service providers into three groups: internet giants, telecom operators, and medium-sized cloud providers, with each group having distinct advantages [39][40]. - It highlights the intense price competition among major cloud providers, with significant price reductions observed in recent years [33][36]. Future Outlook - The report predicts that 2023 will be the "Year of AI," with internet giants benefiting first from AI cloud services, and anticipates a structural shift in demand with the introduction of open-source models by 2025 [41][42]. - It discusses the potential for medium-sized cloud providers to grow significantly, driven by the demand for differentiated services and the increasing importance of domestic computing resources [49][50]. Company Updates - SenseTime is highlighted as a leading player in AI, focusing on generative AI and restructuring its business model to enhance profitability [53][54]. - The report notes that SenseTime's revenue for 2024H1 is projected to reach CNY 1.74 billion, with a significant increase in revenue from generative AI [54][56].