能源金属行业周报：出口管制下的小金属价格本周继续上涨，后市需关注相关政策变化及细化情况-2025-03-18

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The prices of small metals continue to rise under export controls, with a need to monitor policy changes and details in the future [20] - Nickel prices have increased, with tight current shipments and optimistic downstream demand, while supply constraints remain [20][21] - Cobalt prices have surged significantly due to supply tightening, especially following the Democratic Republic of Congo's export suspension [24][25] - Bismuth prices are on the rise due to tight raw material supply and export controls, with a focus on future policy developments [28][29] - Indium prices have increased mainly due to market sentiment rather than fundamental changes, driven by China's export controls [32][34] - Antimony prices have also risen, with significant discrepancies between domestic and international prices, influenced by export restrictions [39][40] Summary by Sections Nickel Industry - As of March 14, LME nickel settled at $16,450 per ton, up 2.49% from March 7, with total LME nickel inventory at 200,580 tons, a 1.04% increase [20] - Domestic nickel iron production is low, and the recovery of production lines in Indonesia is limited, leading to a tight supply situation [20][21] Cobalt Industry - As of March 14, electrolytic cobalt reached 248,500 yuan per ton, a 17.77% increase from March 7, with significant demand from downstream sectors [24] - The Democratic Republic of Congo's suspension of cobalt exports is expected to significantly impact global supply [25][27] Bismuth Industry - Bismuth ingot prices ranged from 152,000 to 157,000 yuan per ton as of March 14, with tight raw material supply affecting production [28][29] - Export controls implemented by China are expected to support future price increases [28] Indium Industry - The average price of refined indium was 2,975 yuan per kilogram as of March 14, reflecting a 7.21% increase from March 7, driven by sentiment rather than supply changes [32][34] - China's export controls are anticipated to support indium prices in the future [34] Antimony Industry - Domestic antimony ingot prices reached 180,000 yuan per ton, a 5.88% increase from March 7, with significant price differences between domestic and international markets [39][40] - Export restrictions are expected to continue influencing antimony prices upward [42]