药明康德（02359）：新签订单再提速、额外分红及A股回购推动股价上涨

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company and raises the target price to HKD 90 and RMB 93, indicating a potential upside of +38% and +45% respectively [3][5][9]. Core Insights - The acceleration in new order signings, along with an additional special dividend and A-share buyback, are the major positive surprises that have driven the company's stock price up [3][8]. - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 39.24 billion, a decrease of 2.7% YoY, but a growth of 5.2% YoY when excluding COVID-19 commercialization projects [8][10]. - The company reported a Non-IFRS adjusted net profit of RMB 10.58 billion for 2024, down 2.5% YoY, with a net profit margin of 27% [8][10]. Revenue and Growth Drivers - The small molecule D&M revenue and TIDES business remain the main drivers of revenue growth, with TIDES revenue growing by 67.9% YoY and small molecule D&M revenue increasing by 16.1% YoY [3][8]. - The company expects TIDES business to maintain over 60% YoY revenue growth in 2025, with total revenue projected to reach RMB 41.5-43 billion, representing a 10%-15% YoY increase [8][9]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 11.54 billion, a 6.9% increase YoY, and a Non-IFRS adjusted net profit of RMB 3.24 billion, up 20.4% YoY [10][12]. - The company ended 2024 with a backlog of orders amounting to RMB 49.31 billion, a 47% increase YoY, indicating strong execution and international competitiveness [8][10]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute an additional special dividend of RMB 1 billion and conduct a RMB 1 billion A-share buyback in 2025, which is expected to positively impact stock performance [8][9]. - The management also announced a H-share incentive trust plan for 2025, with an allocation of HKD 1.5-2.5 billion, depending on revenue targets [8][9].