翰森制药：创新成果显著，看好稳定增长和BD-20250324

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 23.82 [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 12.261 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.3%, and a net profit of RMB 4.372 billion, up 33.4% year-on-year. The revenue from innovative drugs reached RMB 9.477 billion, growing 38.1% year-on-year, and accounting for 74% of total revenue, which aligns with expectations [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is driven by strong performance in oncology and anti-infection segments, with revenues of RMB 8.122 billion and RMB 1.464 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 31.7% and 15.4% year-on-year. The gross margin improved to 91%, while the R&D expense ratio increased to 22%, indicating ongoing investment in innovation [2][3]. - The company has seven innovative drugs and nine indications included in the national medical insurance catalog as of 2024, with over 40 new molecular entities in more than 60 clinical trials. The company completed three license-in agreements in 2024, generating R&D expenses of RMB 247 million [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenues of RMB 12.261 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 21.35%. The net profit for the same year was RMB 4.372 billion, reflecting a growth of 33.39% [7][19]. - The projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 4.400 billion and RMB 4.179 billion respectively, with an expected EPS of RMB 0.74 for 2025 [5][19]. Research and Development - The company has a robust pipeline with 40 new molecular entities and over 60 clinical trials ongoing. Key drugs like Amatinib are expected to generate significant sales, projected to reach RMB 6 billion by 2025 [4][5]. - The company is actively expanding into autoimmune diseases and has multiple assets in development for skin diseases and kidney diseases [4][5]. Valuation - The company is valued at HKD 1,414 billion, with the innovative drug segment valued at HKD 1,378 billion and the generic drug segment at HKD 36 billion. The target price reflects an increase from the previous valuation of HKD 22.28 [5][9].