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稀土永磁行业周报:上周稀土原料价格小幅调整,钕铁硼价格保持平稳
Xiangcai Securities·2025-03-25 10:20

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [4] Core Views - The rare earth magnetic materials industry experienced a decline of 2.82% last week, underperforming the benchmark (CSI 300) by 0.53 percentage points. The industry valuation (TTM P/E) fell by 1.7x to 65.9x, currently at 81% of its historical percentile [6][16] - Despite a slight weakening in rare earth prices, the downward space is limited due to stable production and relatively tight supply at the mining end. The demand side shows no significant new orders, keeping prices stable for now. The overall industry performance is still in a recovery phase from the bottom [13][39] Market Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown relative returns of 1% over one month, 6% over three months, and 11% over twelve months. Absolute returns were 0% over one month, 5% over three months, and 21% over twelve months [5] - The rare earth magnetic materials industry saw a 2.82% decline last week, with a valuation drop to 65.9x, indicating a high historical valuation level [6][16] Price Trends - Last week, the prices of light rare earth minerals remained stable, with mixed carbonate rare earth ore at 26,000 CNY/ton, and heavy rare earth minerals also holding steady [7] - The price of praseodymium-neodymium weakened slightly, with the average price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 444,500 CNY/ton, and the metal price down by 0.18% to 544,500 CNY/ton [8] - Dysprosium prices fell by 2.05% to 1,675 CNY/kg, while terbium prices decreased by 0.98% to 6,560 CNY/kg [9] Industry Demand - The production and sales of household air conditioners showed double-digit growth in January and February 2025, with production at 16.785 million units (up 42.9%) and sales at 16.790 million units (up 36.3%) [11][12] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains high, and the wind power sector continues to show strong growth potential despite a significant drop in new installations [13][39] Supply Dynamics - The overall capacity utilization in the industry still needs improvement, and the current overcapacity requires further demand digestion. The pressure on supply-demand balance continues to suppress industry price levels and profit margins [13][39]