EBSCN·2025-03-26 03:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD, indicating a positive outlook on market share and profit realization prospects [3][5]. Core Insights - BYD's total revenue for 2024 is projected to grow by 29.0% year-on-year to CNY 777.1 billion, with net profit increasing by 34.0% to CNY 40.3 billion [1]. - The company is expected to sell 4.25 million new energy passenger vehicles in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 41.1%, with pure electric vehicle sales rising by 12.1% and plug-in hybrid sales increasing by 72.8% [2]. - BYD's export sales are anticipated to grow by 71.9% to 417,000 units in 2024, driven by new model launches and enhanced cooperation with overseas dealers [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2024 Revenue: CNY 777.1 billion - 2024 Net Profit: CNY 40.3 billion - 2025E Net Profit: CNY 54.4 billion - 2026E Net Profit: CNY 68.5 billion - 2027E Net Profit: CNY 82.0 billion [4][10]. - Growth Rates: - Revenue Growth Rate (2024): 29.0% - Net Profit Growth Rate (2024): 34.0% [4][10]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024 EPS: CNY 13.84 - 2025E EPS: CNY 17.89 [4][12]. Valuation Metrics - The target price for A-shares is set at CNY 449.38, corresponding to a 25x PE for 2025E, while the target price for H-shares is HKD 491.49 [3][5]. - The report projects a P/E ratio of 27 for A-shares in 2025E [12]. Market Position and Strategy - BYD is leveraging its strong innovation capabilities with technologies like the "Super e Platform 3.0" and DM5.0 to enhance its electric vehicle offerings and accelerate its smart transformation [2]. - The company is entering a new model cycle with multiple brands, aiming to capture high-end market segments [2].