YYTH(SH:600096) CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD·2025-03-26 08:37Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 61.54 billion RMB for 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 10.89%, while net profit increased by 17.93% to 5.33 billion RMB, benefiting from an improved gross margin [7]. - The company announced a dividend of 1.4 RMB per share, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 48.15%, which is an increase from 40.56% in 2023, highlighting a commitment to shareholder returns [7][13]. - The company is focusing on its core chemical business, reducing the proportion of low-margin trading activities, which has positively impacted its gross margin [8]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.50%, an increase of 2.32 percentage points year-over-year, supported by stable prices for phosphate products and a decrease in raw material costs [8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 2.91 RMB, with a forecasted net profit of 5.33 billion RMB, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17.93% [11]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 8.09 for 2024, indicating a reasonable valuation [11]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that fertilizer prices will rise in Q1 2025 due to the spring planting season, which could further enhance the company's profitability [8]. - The average price of phosphate rock is expected to remain stable, supporting the pricing of phosphate chemical products [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong market position in the phosphate and fertilizer industry, leveraging its integrated operations and resource advantages [7].