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药明生物(02269):下半年边际加速显著,拥有R+D+M三条长期增长曲线

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for WuXi Biologics (2269.HK) based on its strong performance and growth potential [1]. Core Views - The overall performance of the company meets expectations, with significant acceleration in the second half of the year. The company achieved a total revenue of 18.675 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a non-COVID revenue growth of 13.1% [2][3]. - The company has a robust project and order reserve, indicating a solid foundation for sustained growth. In 2024, the company signed 151 new projects, an increase from 132 in 2023, with over half coming from the U.S. [4][5]. - WuXi Biologics operates a globally leading CRDMO platform with three long-term growth curves: Research (R), Development (D), and Manufacturing (M) [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross profit of 7.651 billion yuan, a 12.1% increase, with a gross margin of 41.0%. The net profit reached 3.945 billion yuan, up 10.5%, with a net margin of 21.1% [1][2]. - The adjusted net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.784 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.8% year-on-year growth, with an adjusted net margin of 25.6% [1]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from North American clients was 10.696 billion yuan, a 32.5% increase, accounting for approximately 52.3% of total revenue. In contrast, revenue from Chinese clients decreased by 9.7% to 2.820 billion yuan [2][3]. - The revenue from preclinical services grew by 30.7% to 7.062 billion yuan, while late-stage clinical services saw a decline of 3.2% to 7.485 billion yuan [3]. Project and Order Reserves - The company has a total of 402 preclinical projects and 243 phase I projects, with a total unfulfilled order amount of approximately 18.5 billion USD, indicating a strong pipeline for future growth [4][5]. - The company expects a revenue growth of 12-15% in 2025, with a continued increase in profitability [5]. Earnings Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 21.361 billion yuan, 24.391 billion yuan, and 27.421 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 4.028 billion yuan, 4.639 billion yuan, and 5.280 billion yuan [7].