Sinopec Corp.(600028) 东方证券·2025-03-26 14:23Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" based on expected improvements in the refining business by 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The refining business is currently under pressure, but improvements are anticipated in 2025 as domestic refining capacity decreases, benefiting the main refineries [2][10]. - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2026 to 0.53 and 0.59 yuan respectively, with a new target price set at 7.42 yuan [2][5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue: The company reported revenues of 3,074,562 million yuan in 2024, a decline of 4.3% year-on-year. Projections for 2025 and 2026 are 2,956,403 million yuan and 2,798,092 million yuan respectively, indicating a continued downward trend [4][10]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected at 50,313 million yuan, down 16.8% from the previous year. Expected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are 64,417 million yuan and 71,499 million yuan respectively [4][10]. - EPS: The EPS for 2024 is expected to be 0.41 yuan, with forecasts of 0.53 yuan for 2025 and 0.59 yuan for 2026 [4][10]. - Profit Margins: The gross margin is projected to improve from 15.5% in 2024 to 17.1% in 2026, while the net margin is expected to rise from 1.6% in 2024 to 2.6% in 2026 [4][10]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a potential turning point in the industry as domestic small refineries face regulatory pressures, which may lead to improved market conditions for major refineries like the company [10]. - The company is also focusing on technological innovation and transitioning into a comprehensive energy service provider, which includes advancements in hydrogen energy and electric vehicle charging services [10].