COSL(601808) 华泰证券·2025-03-27 08:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 48.302 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.137 billion RMB, up 4.11% year-on-year [1] - The company's performance in 2024 was below expectations primarily due to slower growth in drilling services and higher operating costs, yet it demonstrated resilience amid falling oil prices and production cuts in downstream sectors [1][5] - The company has a complete industrial chain advantage and has seen significant results from the large-scale application of its self-developed technology products, contributing to a revenue of 27.655 billion RMB from oilfield technology services, a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [3] - The international oil and gas exploration and development sector remains robust, with the company achieving overseas revenue of 10.885 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.9% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 15.69% in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.19 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased preparation costs for new operating platforms affecting overseas gross profit [2] - The total operating revenue is projected to grow from 44.109 billion RMB in 2023 to 62.933 billion RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.26% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 3.013 billion RMB in 2023 to 5.601 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 14.16% [7] Profitability and Valuation - The company’s estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.87 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20x, leading to a target price of 17.40 RMB [5] - The target price for the Hong Kong stock is set at 9.46 HKD, based on a PE ratio of 10x [5][9] Market Outlook - The global offshore oil and gas project capital expenditure is expected to exceed 100 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of over 20% [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing industry upturn and the continuous realization of high-quality orders from overseas markets [4]