Shanxi Securities·2025-03-27 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Synchronize with the market - A" rating for the solar energy industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - In the first two months of 2025, the domestic photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity reached approximately 39.47 GW, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.5%, although it saw a month-on-month decline of 44.2% compared to December 2024 [12][2]. - The export value of PV components in January and February 2025 was 164.6 billion and 119.6 billion respectively, showing a year-on-year decline of 31.6% for the cumulative export value [15][3]. - The solar power generation in the first two months of 2025 increased by 27.4% year-on-year, accounting for 4.85% of the total national power generation [37][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Installed Capacity - The domestic PV installed capacity for January and February 2025 was approximately 39.47 GW, with a year-on-year increase of 7.5% and a month-on-month decrease of 44.2% [12][2]. 2. Exports - The export value of PV components in January and February 2025 was 164.6 billion and 119.6 billion respectively, with year-on-year declines of 24.1% and 39.8% [15][3]. - The cumulative export value for the first two months was 284.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 31.6% [15][3]. 3. Inverter Exports - In January and February 2025, the inverter export value was 44.1 billion and 32.6 billion respectively, with year-on-year increases of 9.7% and 2.5% [26][4]. - The cumulative export value for inverters in the first two months was 76.7 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.5% [26][4]. 4. Solar Power Generation - The solar power generation in the first two months of 2025 was 724.1 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 27.4% [37][5]. - This generation accounted for 4.85% of the total national power generation, which was 14,921 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.3% [37][5]. 5. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include focusing on new technology directions with companies like Aiko Solar and Longi Green Energy, supply-side improvements with companies like Flat Glass Group, and overseas expansion with companies such as Hengdian Group and Sungrow Power Supply [41][5].