东海证券晨会纪要-2025-03-28

Group 1: Industry Overview - The profit growth of industrial enterprises in China showed improvement in January-February 2025, with total profits down by 0.3% year-on-year, an improvement from the previous decline of 3.3% [6][7] - The revenue growth rate slightly declined, with the profit margin experiencing a seasonal drop greater than in previous years, influenced significantly by the Spring Festival [6][7] - The "Two New" policy has had a noticeable impact on certain industries, including automobiles and smart consumer devices, with expectations for gradual effects from policies supporting consumption upgrades [6][8] Group 2: Company Analysis - Satellite Chemical (002648) - Satellite Chemical reported a total revenue of 45.648 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10.03%, and a net profit of 6.072 billion yuan, up 26.77% [9][10] - The company achieved significant growth in its new energy materials segment, with an 80.77% increase in revenue, while functional chemicals and high polymer materials also showed positive growth [10][11] - The successful launch of an 800,000-ton multi-carbon alcohol project has strengthened the company's integrated supply chain, enhancing its market influence in the acrylic acid sector [11][12] Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Satellite Chemical from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 58.839 billion yuan, 68.197 billion yuan, and 78.811 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to reach 7.221 billion yuan, 9.246 billion yuan, and 11.778 billion yuan [13] - The company anticipates continuous improvement in product price differentials for its C2 and C3 products, contributing to its economic benefits [13]