Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 19.00, indicating a potential upside of 26% from the current price of HKD 15.10 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 410.7 billion in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.8% year-over-year (YOY), while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 27.7 billion, reflecting a growth of 16.1% YOY [9]. - The pharmaceutical segment, which constitutes 70.7% of the product mix, saw a revenue decline of 4.3% due to a drop in sales of COVID-related and anti-infection drugs, but innovative oncology and immunomodulatory products showed a growth of 6% [9]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 3.20 per 10 shares, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 2.3% for H shares [9]. - The company has a robust pipeline with over 80 projects in development, including innovative drugs and biosimilars, which are expected to drive future growth [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, with a market capitalization of HKD 83.34 billion and a share price-to-book ratio of 0.79 [2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net profit of RMB 27.7 billion, with a significant increase in operating cash flow to RMB 33.8 billion, up 31% YOY [9]. - The gross margin for the year was 48.0%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased by 3.8 percentage points to 43.1% [9]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 33 billion, RMB 39 billion, and RMB 46 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with YOY growth rates of 20.5%, 17.6%, and 17.3% [11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 1.3, RMB 1.5, and RMB 1.7 for the same years, corresponding to H share price-to-earnings ratios of 11X, 10X, and 8X, indicating undervaluation [11].
复星医药(02196):公司2024年净利YOY+16%,符合预期