GUILIN FUDA (603166) 西南证券·2025-03-28 08:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of —— yuan over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The company has made significant progress in its transition to new energy and is beginning to enter the robotics sector, indicating a strategic shift towards high-end intelligent manufacturing [1][7]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.647 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.83%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 185.28 million yuan, up 78.96% year-on-year [7][10]. - The company is expanding its production capacity significantly, aiming for 4 million crankshafts by 2025, with a new super factory expected to start full production in July 2025 [8][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1,647.57 million yuan, with projected revenues of 2,390.19 million yuan in 2025, 3,166.96 million yuan in 2026, and 3,901.61 million yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 21.83%, 45.07%, 32.50%, and 23.20% respectively [2][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 185.28 million yuan in 2024 to 538 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 78.96%, 53.13%, 42.24%, and 33.31% respectively [2][10]. Business Segments - The crankshaft business generated 1.036 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a growth rate of 41.32% and a gross margin of 30.25% [10]. - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of major clients such as Geely and BYD, with six new projects confirmed, two of which began mass production in 2024 [7][10]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.00 yuan per 10 shares for the 2024 fiscal year, amounting to 1.27 billion yuan, which represents 68.34% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [7][10]. - The total planned distribution, including share buybacks, is 1.77 billion yuan, accounting for 95.38% of net profit, demonstrating strong financial confidence [7][10]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42.7% for net profit over the next three years, with expected net profits of 2.8 billion yuan in 2025, 4.0 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.4 billion yuan in 2027 [7][10].