Dongguan Securities·2025-03-28 09:53Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as "Standard Configuration" indicating expected performance within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [64]. Core Views - The mechanical equipment sector experienced a bi-weekly decline of 1.39%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.92 percentage points, ranking 23rd among 31 sectors [14][19]. - The sector has shown a year-to-date increase of 13.46%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 13.52 percentage points, ranking 1st among 31 sectors [14][19]. - The newly added special bond limit for 2025 is set at 440 billion yuan, a historical high, which is expected to boost domestic demand as funds are allocated to projects [6][60]. Market Review - The bi-weekly performance of the five sub-sectors within the mechanical equipment industry shows that the rail transit equipment II sector had the highest increase of 0.74%, while the automation equipment sector saw the largest decline of 3.76% [19][20]. - The top three stocks in terms of bi-weekly gains were Zhejiang Huaye, Klete, and Julite, with increases of 149.11%, 71.44%, and 70.19% respectively [20][22]. - Conversely, the stocks with the largest declines were *ST Xinyan, Huafeng Co., and Meixin Yishen, with declines of 30.77%, 29.87%, and 25.88% respectively [23][22]. Valuation Overview - As of March 27, 2025, the TTM PE ratio for the mechanical equipment sector is 29.58 times, with sub-sectors showing varied valuations: general equipment at 37.61 times, specialized equipment at 27.06 times, rail transit equipment II at 18.81 times, engineering machinery at 22.93 times, and automation equipment at 47.00 times [4][26]. Industry Insights - In the robotics segment, Tesla plans to trial production of approximately 5,000 units of its Optimus robot this year, which is expected to positively impact the demand for upstream core components [5][60]. - The engineering machinery sector is anticipated to see a recovery in domestic sales as the special bond funds are deployed, with a projected increase in operating rates [6][60]. - The export trade value of Chinese engineering machinery products in February was $3.281 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.24%, but demand remains strong in regions along the Belt and Road, Africa, and South America [6][60]. Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Huichuan Technology (300124) for its strong market share in general servos and competitive edge [61]. - Sany Heavy Industry (600031) as a leading excavator manufacturer benefiting from increased infrastructure investment [63]. - Hengli Hydraulic (601100) for its solid position in the hydraulic cylinder market with a consistent market share above 50% since 2016 [63].