Landai Technology(002765) 国泰君安·2025-03-28 14:49Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, with a target price raised to 19.76 from the previous 16.34 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company's performance is driven by the growth of its new energy business, which is expected to continue benefiting from the local robot industry development in Chongqing. The company is positioned as a quality "auto parts + robotics" manufacturer in the region [2][9]. - The financial forecast indicates significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 35.36 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.9%. The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 1.24 billion, a substantial increase of 134.0% compared to the previous year [3][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecast: - 2023A: Revenue of 2,808 million, Net Profit of -365 million - 2024A: Revenue of 3,536 million, Net Profit of 124 million - 2025E: Revenue of 4,514 million, Net Profit of 248 million - 2026E: Revenue of 5,459 million, Net Profit of 352 million - 2027E: Revenue of 6,557 million, Net Profit of 478 million - The company is expected to achieve a net profit margin of 3.5% in 2024, up by 16.5 percentage points year-on-year [3][10]. - Key Financial Ratios: - Return on Equity (ROE) is projected to improve from -15.4% in 2023A to 14.6% in 2027E [10]. - The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 78.55 in 2024 to 20.43 in 2027 [10]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 9,762 million, with a current price of 14.97 [4]. - The stock has shown significant price movement, with a 12-month absolute increase of 207% [8]. Business Development - The new energy business is expected to see a sales volume of 5.4 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 120%, with revenue from this segment reaching 5.27 billion, up 88% [9]. - The company is expanding into the robotics sector, leveraging its expertise in high-precision gear shafts and benefiting from supportive local policies in Chongqing [9].