华虹公司（688347）：逐季增长，宏图可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a Q4 2024 revenue of 3.886 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 18.5% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.07%. The gross margin was 18.07%, with a net loss of 197 million yuan primarily due to foreign exchange losses. The total revenue for 2024 was 14.388 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 17.43% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 381 million yuan, aligning with forecasts [4][5] - The company’s ASP has shown positive growth for two consecutive quarters, with a Q4 2024 ASP of $444 per wafer, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.3%. The overall capacity utilization rate was 103.2% [5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, projecting net profits of 881 million yuan for 2025 and 1.184 billion yuan for 2026, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 1.559 billion yuan. The corresponding PE ratios for 2025-2027 are 90, 67, and 51 respectively [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 14.388 billion yuan in 2024 to 17.558 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of 22% [4][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly from 381 million yuan in 2024 to 881 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 131.4% [4][7] - The gross margin is anticipated to decline from 17.4% in 2024 to 13% in 2025, indicating a shift in profitability dynamics [4][7]