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钢铁纳入全国碳排放权交易市场,行业供给侧改革或加速钢铁
Xinda Securities·2025-03-30 00:23

Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The steel sector has experienced a decline of 2.52% this week, underperforming the broader market, with specific segments such as long products and plates seeing declines of 2.95% and 3.18% respectively [10][13] - Iron and steel production has shown a month-on-month increase, with daily molten iron output reaching 2.3728 million tons, a 1.02% increase week-on-week and a 15.89% increase year-on-year [20] - Steel consumption has also increased, with total consumption of five major steel products reaching 9.198 million tons, up 1.41% week-on-week [26] - Social inventory of five major steel products has decreased by 2.76% week-on-week, indicating a tightening supply situation [33] - The price index for ordinary steel has risen slightly, while special steel prices have seen a minor decline [41] Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The steel sector's performance has lagged behind the market, with specific declines noted in various sub-sectors [10][13] 2. Core Data - Daily molten iron production and capacity utilization rates for both blast and electric furnaces have increased, indicating a positive trend in production efficiency [20] - Consumption of major steel products has risen, reflecting a potential recovery in demand [26] 3. Inventory Levels - Both social and factory inventories of major steel products have decreased, suggesting a tightening supply environment [33] 4. Prices and Profits - The ordinary steel price index has increased slightly, while special steel prices have decreased, reflecting mixed market conditions [41] - Profit margins for rebar production have shown fluctuations, with electric arc furnace profits remaining negative [47] 5. Raw Material Prices - The price of imported iron ore has increased, while coking coal prices have remained stable, impacting overall production costs [63] 6. Company Valuations - Key companies in the steel sector are highlighted for their potential growth and investment opportunities, particularly those with strong cost control and high margins [64]