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医药生物行业周报:集采规则有望优化,行业筑底信号显现
Guoyuan Securities·2025-03-31 01:10

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the healthcare sector [7]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector showed signs of recovery with a slight outperformance against the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, with the Shenwan Pharmaceutical Bio Index rising by 0.98% from March 24 to March 28, 2025, ranking first among 31 Shenwan primary industry indices [2][12]. - Year-to-date, the Shenwan Pharmaceutical Bio Index has increased by 3.53%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by 4.03 percentage points, ranking 12th among the 31 indices [2][14]. - As of March 28, 2025, the valuation of the pharmaceutical sector stands at 26.72 times (TTM overall method, excluding negative values), with a premium of 139.55% compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [2][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The pharmaceutical sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, with a weekly increase of 0.98% [2][12]. - The sector's valuation is at 26.72 times, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [15]. 2. Important Policies and Events - On March 26, 2025, the National Healthcare Security Administration held a meeting to optimize drug procurement policies, releasing a draft proposal that includes six key areas for improvement, such as optimizing procurement varieties and standards, enhancing quality assessment, and increasing transparency [4][21]. 3. Important Company Announcements - Boteng Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 3.012 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 17.87%, with a net profit of -288 million yuan, down 207.83% [22]. - Haier Biomedical reported a revenue of 2.283 billion yuan for 2024, a slight increase of 0.13%, with a net profit of 367 million yuan, down 9.71% [22]. 4. Industry Perspectives - The ongoing drug procurement policies have led to significant price reductions for winning bids, impacting company performance and investor confidence. The recent draft proposal aims to adjust the procurement mechanism to prevent low-price bidding and ensure stable supply [5][23][24]. - The adjustments in the procurement rules are expected to restore investor confidence in hospital medication, with potential recovery for quality generic drug companies [5][24].