EBSCN·2025-03-31 02:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company, with current prices at 8.08 CNY and 6.16 HKD respectively [1]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high net profit attributable to shareholders of 164.7 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.02% [5][6]. - The report highlights the company's integrated industry chain as a key factor in withstanding oil price fluctuations, with a free cash flow of 104.35 billion CNY for three consecutive years exceeding 100 billion CNY [6][17]. - The company’s total revenue for 2024 was 2,938 billion CNY, a decrease of 2.48% year-on-year, while the fourth quarter revenue was 681.7 billion CNY, down 6.70% year-on-year [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the average Brent crude oil price was 79.86 USD/barrel, down 2.8% year-on-year, while the fourth quarter average was 74.01 USD/barrel, down 10.7% year-on-year [6]. - The company’s upstream business benefited from ongoing "increased reserves and production" initiatives, achieving an operating profit of 159.7 billion CNY, up 7.4% year-on-year [7][8]. - The natural gas sales business saw a significant profit increase of 25.5% year-on-year, reaching 54 billion CNY [10]. Segment Analysis - The refining and chemical segment reported an operating profit of 21.4 billion CNY, down 42.1% year-on-year, primarily due to narrowing margins on refined products [11]. - The company processed 1,378.4 million barrels of crude oil in 2024, a decrease of 1.5% year-on-year, while chemical product sales volume increased by 13.6% [12][13]. Shareholder Returns - The board proposed a final dividend of 0.25 CNY per share, with an annual dividend of 0.47 CNY per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 52.2% [14]. - The total dividend amount is approximately 86.02 billion CNY, with dividend yields of 5.8% for A-shares and 8.2% for H-shares based on the stock price as of March 28 [14]. Long-term Outlook - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 173 billion CNY, 178.4 billion CNY, and 182.9 billion CNY respectively, with a continued focus on the potential of the "increased reserves and production" strategy and long-term growth in the natural gas sector [17][18].