HANGYANG LIMITED(002430) 国泰君安·2025-03-31 13:13Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Co., Ltd. (002430) with a target price of 26.88 CNY, down from the previous forecast of 34.25 CNY [2][12]. Core Insights - The company's 2024 performance meets expectations, with steady development in pipeline gas and a potential recovery in retail gas prices. Additionally, the proportion of overseas orders for equipment continues to rise, indicating a steady growth outlook [3][12]. Financial Summary - Revenue: The company reported a revenue of 13,716 million CNY for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.06%. The projected revenues for the following years are 15,763 million CNY in 2025, 17,753 million CNY in 2026, and 20,025 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 14.9%, 12.6%, and 12.8% respectively [5][14]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is 922 million CNY, a decrease of 24.15% year-on-year. The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1,106 million CNY, 1,301 million CNY, and 1,510 million CNY, showing a recovery trend [5][14]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The EPS for 2024 is projected at 0.94 CNY, with estimates of 1.12 CNY for 2025, 1.32 CNY for 2026, and 1.53 CNY for 2027 [5][14]. - Return on Equity (ROE): The ROE is expected to be 10.0% in 2024, with a gradual increase to 13.6% by 2027 [5][14]. Market Performance - The stock has a 52-week price range of 16.67 CNY to 31.18 CNY, with a total market capitalization of 20,948 million CNY [6][12]. - The stock's performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 23% relative to the Shenzhen Composite Index [10]. Business Development - The company’s gas sales revenue for 2024 is 8,100 million CNY, down 1.15% year-on-year, primarily due to fluctuations in retail gas prices. The gross margin for gas sales is 16.17%, a decrease of 2.58 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The pipeline gas business is expected to provide stable cash flow, with new projects adding approximately 650,000 Nm³/h of oxygen production capacity in 2024 [12]. - The company achieved a revenue of 4,525 million CNY from air separation equipment in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.77% [12]. Overseas Market Expansion - The company’s order intake for air separation and petrochemical equipment reached 5,512 million CNY in 2024, with overseas orders accounting for 17%, up from 14% in 2023. This growth in overseas orders is anticipated to enhance equipment gross margins [12].