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行业周报(3.24-3.30):绿证核发实施细则(试行)发布,板块市场表现偏弱-2025-04-01
长城证券·2025-04-01 12:42

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power and utilities sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The implementation details for the green certificate issuance have been released, which is expected to positively impact the renewable energy sector [31]. - The overall market performance of the utilities sector has been weak, with the industry index declining by 0.73% during the week of March 24-30, 2025, underperforming compared to major indices [2][10]. - The report highlights specific stocks with investment ratings, including "Buy" for Guodian Power and "Overweight" for Longyuan Power, among others [1]. Market Performance Summary - The Shenyin Wanguo Utilities Industry Index PE (TTM) is at 16.44x, down from 16.61x the previous week, and significantly lower than 19.85x in the same period last year [2][22]. - The PB ratio for the utilities sector is currently 1.72x, slightly down from 1.73x last week and lower than 1.82x a year ago [2][25]. - The sector's performance ranks 11th among 31 major industries, with specific sub-sectors showing varied performance, such as thermal power down by 0.94% and hydropower up by 1.35% [10][16]. Stock Performance Summary - The top five performing stocks for the week include ST Lingda (+11.87%), Meinuo Energy (+4.46%), and Chuan Investment Energy (+4%) [3][28]. - Conversely, the worst performers include ST Xulan (-22.39%) and Guang'an Aizhong (-16.72%) [3][28]. Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has initiated a consultation on the implementation details for the issuance of renewable energy green certificates, which will standardize the management of green certificates for various renewable energy projects [31]. - The administration is also focusing on enhancing the integration of renewable energy consumption and the construction of external transmission channels to ensure energy security [32][33]. Key Data Tracking - As of March 28, 2025, the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) is 667 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.89% [38]. - The trading volume for green certificates from March 24 to March 30 totaled 96.10 and 111.15 million for wind and solar power, respectively [41].