Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4][5]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the domestic substitution logic in the semiconductor mask plate market, with a projected 10.5% year-on-year growth in net profit for 2024 [2][4]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is forecasted to be 247 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 92 million yuan, up 9.8% year-on-year [2][12]. - The report highlights the company's strong customer relationships with major clients such as Huahong Grace, Chipone, and BYD Semiconductor, indicating high customer stickiness and potential for future growth [3][4]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profitability: - 2024 revenue is projected at 247 million yuan, with a growth rate of 12.9% year-on-year. The net profit is expected to be 92 million yuan, with a growth rate of 9.8% [2][12]. - The gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 57.01%, a decrease of 1.86 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin is projected at 37.25%, down 1.05 percentage points year-on-year [2][12]. - Business Segmentation: - The quartz mask plate segment is expected to account for over 80% of total revenue in 2024, with a revenue of 200 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.5% [3][4]. - The soda mask plate segment is projected to generate 46 million yuan in revenue, a slight decline of 0.5% year-on-year [3]. - Future Projections: - The company anticipates net profits of 121 million yuan, 156 million yuan, and 191 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 56, 44, and 36 [4][5]. Market Position - The company is identified as a rare independent third-party semiconductor mask plate manufacturer in China, with significant market potential as the global mask plate market is projected to reach 62.3 billion yuan by 2028 [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for mask plates driven by product iterations and production line expansions in the semiconductor industry, alongside a clear trend towards domestic substitution [4].
龙图光罩（688721）：24年扣非净利润同比+10.5%，看好半导体掩模版国产替代逻辑