Huachuang Securities·2025-04-01 14:15Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" with expectations of exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [21]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for insurance companies to adjust their asset allocation strategies in response to interest rate fluctuations, advocating for an increase in long-term bonds and a focus on equity style rotation [2]. - It highlights the shift in asset allocation among listed insurance companies, with a notable increase in the proportion of FVOCI (Fair Value Other Comprehensive Income) assets in their equity investments, aimed at stabilizing net profit [3][8]. - The report also discusses the performance of major insurance companies, predicting a continued focus on dividend strategies to mitigate pressure on net investment returns [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the insurance sector is approximately 27,935.74 billion, with a circulating market value of 19,257.54 billion [4]. - The report notes a mixed performance in the relative index, with a 1-month absolute performance of 2.5% and a 12-month performance of 37.0% [5]. Asset Allocation Trends - Insurance companies have increased their allocation to long-term bonds in response to declining interest rates, with the 10-year government bond yield dropping to 1.68% by the end of 2024 [7]. - The report details the asset allocation changes for major insurance companies, indicating a general trend of increasing bond holdings while adjusting equity positions [7]. Company-Specific Insights - China Life has increased its fund allocation while slightly decreasing its stock proportion, with fixed-income assets rising by 2.7 percentage points to 74.3% [7]. - China Ping An has increased its stock allocation while reducing its fund holdings, with fixed-income assets rising to 76.2% [7]. - China Taiping has also increased its stock allocation, with fixed-income assets now at 82.3% [7]. - New China Life has increased both stock and fund allocations, with equity assets rising to 20.7% [7]. - China Re has increased its stock allocation while reducing funds, with equity assets now at 28.4% [7]. - Sunshine Insurance has increased its stock allocation while maintaining fund levels, with equity assets rising to 23.7% [7]. Performance Forecasts - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for major companies, with China Ping An expected to have an EPS of 7.56 in 2025, while China Life is projected at 3.09 [9]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these companies are also provided, with China Ping An at 6.83 and China Life at 12.16 for 2025 [9].