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渤海证券研究所晨会纪要-2025-04-02
渤海证券·2025-04-02 01:48

Group 1: Semir Apparel (002563) 2024 Annual Report - The company reported a revenue of 14.626 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.06%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.137 billion yuan, up 1.42% year-on-year. The basic earnings per share is 0.42 yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 3.5 yuan per 10 shares [2] - In Q4 2024, the company saw a significant improvement in performance, with revenue growth of 9.76% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 32.07% year-on-year. The company's inventory turnover rate improved to 2.64 times, and the days of inventory turnover decreased by 19 days to 140 days [3] - The company has successfully opened over 500 "New Semir" stores nationwide and achieved a threefold increase in the scale of popular products. The children's clothing brand, Balabala, achieved a revenue of 10.268 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.55% [3][4] Group 2: China Aluminum (601600) 2024 Annual Report - The company achieved a revenue of 237.066 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.4 billion yuan, up 85.38% year-on-year [9] - The production of metallurgical-grade alumina increased by 1.2% to 16.87 million tons, while the production of primary aluminum rose by 12.1% to 7.61 million tons. The average price of domestic alumina increased by 39.9% year-on-year [10] - The company is actively expanding its resource base, adding 73.55 million tons of new resources in 2024, and has initiated multiple new projects, including clean energy initiatives that account for 45.5% of its electrolytic aluminum production [10][11] Group 3: Public Fund Market Overview - In March, 77 new funds were issued with a total scale of 63.583 billion yuan, including 12 active equity funds with a scale of 3.698 billion yuan. The active equity fund segment saw a significant increase in popularity [15] - The average performance of various fund types showed that commodity funds had the highest positive return rate at 88.57%, while large-scale equity funds performed better than smaller ones [15] - The ETF market experienced a net outflow of 39.155 billion yuan, with the average daily trading volume reaching 2.524 trillion yuan [16] Group 4: Equity Market Trends - Major equity indices continued to decline, with the historical percentile of price-to-earnings ratios for the ChiNext and Shanghai Composite Index dropping significantly [18] - The real estate sector showed the highest valuation percentile at 93.3%, indicating potential correction risks, while several sectors, including agriculture and non-bank financials, had low valuation percentiles below 20% [18] - The overall performance of equity funds was poor, with the average net value of mixed equity funds declining by 0.52% [18]