Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianhong International Group is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][31] Core Views - The company is expected to return to profitability in 2024, with a significant increase in operating cash flow. Revenue is projected to grow by 1.3% to 23.03 billion yuan, driven by recovering overseas demand and improved capacity utilization [2][4] - The company aims to maintain a stable operating environment in the second half of 2024, with a focus on controlling capital expenditures and reducing debt pressure [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit of 554 million yuan, a significant turnaround from a loss in 2023, primarily due to a recovery in gross margin and optimized cost control [2][4] - Operating cash flow increased by 126% to 4.48 billion yuan, attributed to higher operating profits and reduced working capital requirements [2][4] - The company’s gross margin improved to 12.4% in 2024, with yarn business revenue accounting for 77.8% of total revenue [2][4] Management Outlook - The management has set ambitious targets for 2025, aiming to sell 800,000 tons of yarn and 100 million meters of woven fabric, while continuing to expand the proportion of high-margin products [3][4] - Capital expenditures for 2024 are planned at 830 million yuan, focusing on automation technology upgrades and distributed photovoltaic power stations [3][4] Profit Forecasts - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 590 million, 750 million, and 970 million yuan respectively, reflecting a cautious outlook on global demand and cotton prices [4][31] - The target price has been revised to 4.1-4.8 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 6-7x for 2025 [4][31] Market Position - The company is recognized as a leading global producer of cotton yarn, benefiting from early globalization strategies that provide a competitive edge in local supply chains and rapid response capabilities [4][31]
天虹国际集团（02678）：2024年扭亏为盈，经营性现金流净额大幅增长