Workflow
天士力(600535):业绩稳健,期待华润协同
600535TASLY(600535) 东方证券·2025-04-03 07:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 15.75 CNY based on a 21x PE valuation for 2025 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company has shown stable performance, with a slight decline in revenue in 2024 but a projected recovery in the following years. The revenue for 2024 is expected to be 8.498 billion CNY, down 2.0% year-on-year, while the net profit is projected at 956 million CNY, a decrease of 10.8% [9]. - The company is focusing on product innovation and has a robust pipeline with 98 products under development, including two classic traditional Chinese medicine formulations that are in the production application stage [9]. - The acquisition by China Resources Sanjiu is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge through improved management and marketing resources [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2023: 8.674 billion CNY - 2024: 8.498 billion CNY - 2025: 9.069 billion CNY (6.7% growth) - 2026: 9.723 billion CNY (7.2% growth) - 2027: 10.248 billion CNY (5.4% growth) [4][11] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2023: 1.071 billion CNY - 2024: 0.956 billion CNY - 2025: 1.124 billion CNY (17.6% growth) - 2026: 1.325 billion CNY (17.9% growth) - 2027: 1.423 billion CNY (7.4% growth) [4][11] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023: 0.72 CNY - 2024: 0.64 CNY - 2025: 0.75 CNY - 2026: 0.89 CNY - 2027: 0.95 CNY [4][11] - Profitability Ratios: - Gross Margin: 66.8% in 2023, projected to be around 66.5% in 2025 - Net Margin: 12.3% in 2023, expected to improve to 12.4% in 2025 - Return on Equity (ROE): 8.6% in 2023, projected to be 9.1% in 2025 [4][11].