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龙图光罩(688721):产能瓶颈使2024年业绩增速放缓,静待珠海新工厂产能释放

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company Longtu Guozhao (688721.SH) [1][9] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 247 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.92%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 91.83 million yuan, a growth of 9.84% [2][4] - The growth rate of revenue and net profit for 2024 is significantly slower compared to 2023, primarily due to the saturation of production capacity at the Shenzhen factory. The new factory in Zhuhai is anticipated to release capacity and drive rapid growth in performance [4][5] - The company is focusing on the construction of a "high-end semiconductor chip mask manufacturing base" project, with major production equipment for the Zhuhai factory arriving and being installed since the end of Q1 2024 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company achieved revenue of 218 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.13%, and a net profit of 83.61 million yuan, up 29.66% [4][11] - For 2024, the gross margin is expected to be 57.01%, slightly down by 1.86 percentage points from the previous year, while the net margin is projected at 37.25%, down by 1.05 percentage points [5][11] - The revenue contribution from quartz masks increased from 78.79% in 2023 to 81.31% in 2024, indicating a stable demand for this product line [5][11] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 348 million yuan, 509 million yuan, and 788 million yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.0%, 46.6%, and 54.6% [7][11] - Net profits are projected to be 103 million yuan, 162 million yuan, and 263 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 12.3%, 57.0%, and 62.7% respectively [7][11]