EBSCN·2025-04-03 11:56Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pig farming industry is "Buy" and is maintained for key companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [4][11]. Core Insights - The pig farming industry in China is currently experiencing accelerated scale-up, with significant growth potential as the industry evolves towards a more integrated supply chain from breeding to slaughter and distribution [3][10]. - The industry is projected to reach a market size of approximately 1.51 trillion yuan in 2024, indicating robust growth and market vitality [20][29]. - The cyclical nature of the pig market is expected to persist, with price fluctuations continuing despite increased scale and efficiency in production [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Pig Farming Industry: Accelerated Scale-Up and Growth Potential - The Chinese pig farming industry is characterized by a market size exceeding 1 trillion yuan, with a projected growth to 1.51 trillion yuan by 2024 [20][29]. - The industry is undergoing structural changes, with a focus on improving efficiency and reducing costs through scale [2][30]. 2. Cycle: Changes Brought by Accelerated Scale-Up - The scale-up process is expected to lengthen the price fluctuation cycles, although it will not eliminate them entirely [36]. - The amplitude of price fluctuations may increase during the acceleration phase, particularly during downturns [36][37]. 3. Growth: Low-Cost Expansion Capabilities - The industry is still in a golden period of scale-up, with significant benefits from previous scaling efforts [2][7]. - Companies with lower marginal costs and strong resource accumulation are positioned for growth, while high-cost producers are likely to exit the market [2][10]. 4. Further Growth: Industry Re-Growth and Supply Chain Extension - The integration of the supply chain is a key focus, with leading companies expanding from breeding to slaughter and distribution [3][10]. - The industry is expected to see a recovery in 2024, but supply pressures may return in 2025, leading to potential capacity reductions [3][10]. 5. Key Company Profit Forecasts and Valuation - Key companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and others are projected to maintain strong earnings growth, with EPS estimates for 2024 showing positive trends [4][11].