LIJIANG TOURISM(SZ:002033) Orient Securities·2025-04-04 01:34Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company demonstrates stable operations with high dividends, and new project layouts are expected to open up growth opportunities [1] - The forecast for EPS from 2025 to 2027 is adjusted to 0.43, 0.46, and 0.52 yuan respectively, with a target price set at 11.61 yuan based on a 27 times P/E ratio for 2025 [2][8] Financial Information - The company's revenue for 2023 is reported at 799 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 152.4%. Projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 808 million yuan (+1.2%), 863 million yuan (+6.8%), 915 million yuan (+6.0%), and 972 million yuan (+6.2%) respectively [4] - Operating profit for 2023 is 319 million yuan, with a staggering year-on-year growth of 2517.0%. The projections for the following years are 300 million yuan (-5.8%), 326 million yuan (+8.6%), 351 million yuan (+7.7%), and 390 million yuan (+11.2%) [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is 227 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5971.9%. The projections for the next years are 211 million yuan (-7.3%), 236 million yuan (+12.0%), 255 million yuan (+8.0%), and 284 million yuan (+11.5%) [4] - The gross margin for 2023 is 58.7%, with projections of 57.4% for 2024, 58.9% for 2025, 59.7% for 2026, and 60.9% for 2027 [4] - The net margin for 2023 is 28.5%, with projections of 26.1% for 2024, 27.4% for 2025, 27.9% for 2026, and 29.2% for 2027 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2023 is 9.2%, with projections of 8.4% for 2024, 8.9% for 2025, 9.0% for 2026, and 9.7% for 2027 [4] Business Performance - The company reported a strong performance in Q4, with a revenue of 173 million yuan (+10.0%) and a net profit of 19 million yuan (+19.2%) during the off-peak season [7] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio of 91%, with a cash dividend proposal of 3.50 yuan per 10 shares [7] - The company’s three cableway operations received a total of 6.6684 million visitors in 2024, representing an increase of 8.9% year-on-year [7]