ZHUHAI COSMX(688772) 国海证券·2025-04-04 07:07Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Zhuhai Guanyu (688772) as it initiates coverage [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the consumer battery sector is experiencing a downturn due to falling raw material prices, while the company's self-supply rate for PACK continues to improve, leading to enhanced gross margins. The global demand for consumer electronics is recovering, driven by the emergence of AI applications in laptops and smartphones, which is expected to elevate battery performance requirements [5][6]. - The company achieved a revenue of 11.541 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.83%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 430 million yuan, up 25.03% year-on-year [4][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.024 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.07%, and a net profit of 162 million yuan, a significant rise of 197.47% year-on-year [4][8]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 25.69%, with a net profit margin of 3.73%, reflecting a year-on-year improvement [8]. Business Segments - Consumer Battery: Revenue from consumer batteries was 10.265 billion yuan, down 2.05% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 28.68%, up 1.08 percentage points [5]. - Power and Energy Storage: Revenue from power batteries reached 917 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67.54%, although the gross margin was negative at -4.16% [6]. Market Position - The company ranks first in global shipments of laptop batteries and second in tablet batteries, with significant partnerships with major clients like HP, Lenovo, Dell, and Apple [5]. - In the smartphone segment, the company is among the top five in global shipments, serving high-profile clients such as Apple, Xiaomi, and Huawei [5]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.427 billion yuan, 16.678 billion yuan, and 19.064 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 25%, 16%, and 14% [7][9]. - Net profit projections for the same years are 903 million yuan, 1.203 billion yuan, and 1.502 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 110%, 33%, and 25% [7][9].