Shanghai Friendess(SH:688188) Soochow Securities·2025-04-05 00:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][2] Core Views - The company's 2024 annual report shows that performance meets expectations, with significant growth in cutting heads and welding businesses [2][3] - In Q4, revenue growth slowed due to increased equity incentive costs and weak industry conditions, but cutting heads continued to grow rapidly [3][4] Revenue and Profitability Summary - The company achieved total revenue of 1.735 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 882.71 million yuan, up 21.1% year-on-year [1][3] - The Q4 revenue was 440 million yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and net profit of 160 million yuan, showing a minimal increase of 0.1% year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 79.9%, with a net profit margin of 53.7%, indicating strong profitability [4] Business Segment Performance - The flat solution segment generated 1.12 billion yuan in revenue, up 11.8% year-on-year, benefiting from a 60%-70% market share in mid-low power systems [3] - The pipe solution segment saw revenue of 380 million yuan, a 38.2% increase, driven by high power demand [3] - The 3D solution segment achieved remarkable growth with revenue of 37 million yuan, up 409.9%, primarily from steel cutting [3] Product Performance - The smart cutting head business is expected to generate 500 million yuan in revenue in 2025, a 43.7% increase, with net profit projected to reach 200 million yuan, up 83.0% [3] - The company anticipates significant growth in smart welding products as they mature and penetrate high-value downstream markets [5] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.095 billion yuan, 2.539 billion yuan, and 3.093 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.061 billion yuan, 1.293 billion yuan, and 1.586 billion yuan [1][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 5.16 yuan in 2025, 6.29 yuan in 2026, and 7.72 yuan in 2027 [1][12]