Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][18] Core Views - The company's operating performance continues to improve, with a slight increase in revenue and a significant rise in net profit. In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 42.734 billion yuan (+0.78%) and a net profit of 2.046 billion yuan (+28.46%) [7][3] - The growth in revenue is primarily attributed to the contribution from newly commissioned projects, while the increase in net profit is due to a decrease in fuel costs and growth in the scale and efficiency of clean energy generation [7][3] - The company is actively advancing coal power projects, which are expected to further boost performance upon completion. Key projects include the Caoyang Comprehensive Energy Center Phase II and the expansion projects in Jiangsu and Shanghai, with six 1 million kilowatt units expected to be operational after 2026 [16][3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 2.685 billion yuan, 3.012 billion yuan, and 3.263 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 31.2%, 12.2%, and 8.3% [3][18] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.95 yuan, 1.07 yuan, and 1.16 yuan for the same years, with current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.7, 8.6, and 8.0 [3][18] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross margin improved to 23.47%, an increase of 1.54 percentage points, primarily due to lower fuel costs [9][14] - The net profit margin increased to 9.74%, up 1.33 percentage points from the previous year, driven by improved gross margin and reduced expense ratios [9][14] - The return on equity (ROE) rose to 9.33%, reflecting the upward trend in net profit margins [14][9] New Energy Development - The company continues to expand its new energy capacity, adding 2.2255 million kilowatts in 2024, bringing the total to 11.1849 million kilowatts, including 4.8506 million kilowatts of wind power and 6.3343 million kilowatts of solar power [17][2] - Future development will focus on offshore wind energy, with plans to expedite the commissioning of new energy projects in provinces like Shandong, Shanghai, and Zhejiang [17][2]
上海电力(600021):经营业绩持续改善,煤电、新能源稳步发展