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圣泉集团(605589):2024年年报及2025年一季报业绩预增点评:高频高速树脂产销两旺,预计2025Q1业绩大幅提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant performance improvement in Q1 2025, with projected net profit increasing by 45.58% to 56.49% year-on-year [5][8] - The company achieved a revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.87%, and a net profit of 868 million yuan, also up 9.94% year-on-year [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.868 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.55% [5] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 200 million to 215 million yuan in Q1 2025, compared to an increase of 62.615 million to 77.615 million yuan year-on-year [5][8] - The company’s revenue from synthetic resin products reached 5.343 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.33% [6] Market Performance - The company's stock has outperformed the CSI 300 index over the past 12 months, with a 45.6% increase compared to the index's 8.2% [3] - The current stock price is 27.26 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 17.14 to 32.01 yuan [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 11.678 billion, 13.041 billion, and 14.879 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.273 billion, 1.421 billion, and 1.633 billion yuan [10][13] - The company is expected to maintain a PE ratio of 18, 16, and 14 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10]