太极股份（002368）：Q4业绩企稳，云数及信创驱动成长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company's Q4 performance shows stabilization in revenue and profit, with significant improvement in operational quality. The growth is driven by opportunities in trusted innovation (信创), AI, and data elements, particularly in cloud and data services [1][6]. - The company is positioned as a foundational player in digital China, with advantages in trusted innovation, data elements, and cloud services, projecting a net profit of 316 million, 428 million, and 495 million yuan for 2025 to 2027 respectively [6][10]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 9,195 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 13%. The projected revenue for 2024 is 7,836 million yuan, with a further decline of 15%, followed by a recovery with expected growth of 10% in 2025 [2][10]. - Operating profit for 2023 is 419 million yuan, with a decrease of 4% year-on-year. The forecast for 2024 shows a significant drop to 233 million yuan, but a recovery is expected with 384 million yuan in 2025, representing a 65% increase [2][10]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is 375 million yuan for 2023, down 1% year-on-year, with a forecast of 316 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a 66% increase [2][10]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 41.7, projected to rise to 81.9 in 2024 before decreasing to 49.5 in 2025 [2][11]. Business Performance - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 34.99 billion yuan, down 11.95% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.19 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.82% [6][10]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 0.60 percentage points to 24.08% for the year, with Q4 gross margin increasing by 2.16 percentage points to 18.05% [6][10]. - The cloud and data services, along with trusted innovation business, are key growth drivers, with cloud and data services revenue growing by 12.34% in 2024 [6][10]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is China Electric Tai Chi Group Co., Ltd., holding 28.61% of the shares [3].