食品饮料周报：关税加码，关注内需主线

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand in light of increased tariffs, highlighting the need for policies to support growth in the domestic market [6] - The report recommends focusing on three main lines of investment: high-end liquor with strong demand, national expansion of mid-range liquor, and real estate liquor products [6] - The food index showed a cumulative increase of 1.32%, with specific recommendations for snack and restaurant industry investments due to expected recovery [6] Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - Moutai's 2024 revenue is projected at 174.1 billion yuan, a 15.7% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 86.2 billion yuan, up 15.4% [6][7] - The report recommends Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao for high-end liquor, Shanxi Fenjiu for mid-range liquor, and Yingjia Gongjiu and others for real estate liquor [6] - The liquor index showed a cumulative decline of 0.74% this week, with Moutai's stock down 1.03% [6][7] Food Industry - The food index increased by 1.32%, with top gainers including Yanjinpuzi (+19.64%) and Zunming Co. (+9.66%) [6][12] - The report suggests focusing on the snack sector and the restaurant industry chain, anticipating a slight recovery in the restaurant sector [6] - Recommendations include Three Squirrels and Yanjinpuzi for snacks, and Yanjing Beer, Haitian Flavoring, and Anjui Foods for the restaurant supply chain [6] Key Company Insights - Guizhou Moutai aims for a revenue growth of about 9% in 2025, with a fixed asset investment of 4.711 billion yuan [7] - Wuliangye plans to maintain a cash dividend of at least 70% of net profit for 2024-2026, ensuring stable shareholder returns [7] - Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu are also recommended for their strong market positions and growth strategies [7][8] Market Trends - The report notes that the overall food and beverage industry has shown resilience, with many companies meeting performance expectations [6] - The macroeconomic environment remains a concern, but the report highlights opportunities in high-demand sectors [6][9]