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中科飞测(688361):2024年报点评:营收高增,先进制程量检测设备研发验证进展顺利

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved significant revenue growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 1.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.94%. The revenue from testing equipment was 985 million yuan, up 50.5% year-on-year, accounting for 71.3% of total revenue [7] - The company is experiencing a transition in profitability, with a net profit of -11.53 million yuan in 2024, primarily due to increased R&D investments and the payment of a share incentive plan [7] - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, with R&D expenses reaching 498 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 118.2% [7] - The company has a strong order backlog, with inventory increasing by 57.1% year-on-year to 1.747 billion yuan and contract liabilities rising by 42.9% to 629 million yuan [7] - The company is making progress in the development of advanced process measurement equipment, with successful validations from major domestic clients [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2024 is 1.38 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 54.94% [8] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 217 million yuan, down from the previous estimate of 260 million yuan [7] - The projected net profit for 2026 is 364 million yuan, and for 2027, it is 512 million yuan [7] - The current market capitalization corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 123 for 2025, 73 for 2026, and 52 for 2027 [7] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is 48.90%, with a projected increase in subsequent years [8]