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半导体行业点评报告:对等关税利好成熟制程&先进制程国产替代,看好自主可控大趋势
Soochow Securities·2025-04-07 05:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The increase in import tariffs on semiconductor equipment from the US is beneficial for the domestic replacement of both mature and advanced process equipment, supporting the trend of self-sufficiency [5][6] - The import value of semiconductor equipment from the US in 2024 is estimated to be approximately 33.7 billion yuan, accounting for about 20% of total imports [6][8] - The newly imposed 34% tariff on US imports is expected to increase the cost of imported equipment by over 50%, giving a significant price advantage to domestic equipment [5][6] - The report highlights that the major imported equipment from the US includes ion implantation and metrology equipment, with the largest import value for metrology equipment at approximately 12.25 billion yuan [7][8] - Major US equipment manufacturers have production bases in Singapore and Malaysia, which affects the reported import values [11] Summary by Sections Section 1: Impact of Tariffs - The increase in tariffs is expected to accelerate the domestic production of semiconductor equipment, particularly benefiting the mature process segment due to its price sensitivity [5][6] Section 2: Equipment Import Breakdown - In 2024, the largest import value from the US is for metrology equipment at 12.25 billion yuan, followed by ion implantation equipment at approximately 10.15 billion yuan [7][8] Section 3: Revenue from US Equipment Manufacturers - The combined revenue of four major US equipment manufacturers in China is estimated at around 120 billion yuan, indicating a significant market presence [11][15] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on front-end and back-end semiconductor equipment manufacturers, highlighting specific companies such as North Huachuang and Zhongwei Company for front-end platform equipment, and others for various segments [18]