Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Hold" [5] Core Viewpoints - The expansion of domestic demand policies is expected to continue, making 2025 a year of profit recovery for the building materials sector. The government emphasizes boosting consumption and investment efficiency as top priorities for 2025, which is likely to support demand recovery in the building materials industry [5][15][33] - The building materials sector has seen profitability bottoming out across various sub-industries, with significant recovery potential if demand improves. The supply side is providing strong support, and leading companies are expected to recover profits first [5][15][33] Summary by Sections 1. Expansion of Domestic Demand Policies - The government is focusing on expanding domestic demand to counteract export pressures due to increased tariffs from the U.S. This is expected to lead to a recovery in building materials demand [5][15] - The building materials sector has experienced profitability bottoming out, with cement and fiberglass seeing a bottom in Q1 2024, and float glass expected to bottom out in September 2024 [15][33] 2. Consumer Building Materials - The retail building materials sector is expected to recover first, supported by a small spring in the second-hand housing market and subsidy policies. Leading companies in this sector are showing strong operational resilience [5][15][33] - Key companies to watch include SanKeTree, Rabbit Baby, North New Materials, Weixing New Materials, Oriental Yuhong, China Liansu, and Dongpeng Holdings [5][33] 3. Cement - The national average cement price increased by 0.1% week-on-week, with a current average price of 397 RMB/ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.2% [5][15][33] - Leading companies such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement are expected to perform well, with the industry valuation at historical low levels [5][33] 4. Glass - Float glass prices are stable, with the average price at 1314 RMB/ton, down 24.2% year-on-year. The photovoltaic glass market is also stable, with new order prices increasing [5][15][33] - Key companies in the glass sector include Qibin Group, Shandong Yaobang, and FuLaiTe, with a focus on the low valuation of leading companies [5][33] 5. Fiberglass and Carbon-based Composites - The fiberglass market is stable, with prices holding steady. The demand for fiberglass in wind power and electronic yarns is supporting overall performance [5][15][33] - Leading companies in this sector include China Jushi, China National Materials, and Changhai Co., with a focus on the competitive landscape [5][33]
建材-建筑材料行业:扩内需政策或持续加码,2025年是盈利修复年