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股指期货将宽幅震荡,黄金、铜期货将偏弱震荡,白银、镍、螺纹钢、铁矿石、玻璃期货将偏强震荡,天然橡胶、20号胶期货将震荡偏弱
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-04-08 03:47

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on April 8, 2025, including wide - range oscillations for stock index futures, weak oscillations for gold and copper futures, and strong oscillations for silver, nickel, rebar, iron ore, and glass futures, while natural rubber and 20 - number rubber futures are expected to oscillate weakly [1][2][3][4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Outlook - Stock Index Futures: On April 8, IF2506 has support levels at 3350 and 3300 points and resistance levels at 3475 and 3498 points; IH2506 has support at 2355 and 2294 points and resistance at 2454 and 2500 points; IC2504 has support at 5145 and 5011 points and resistance at 5250 and 5331 points; IM2506 has support at 5333 and 5261 points and resistance at 5485 and 5550 points. In April 2025, they are likely to oscillate weakly [2][19][20]. - Treasury Bond Futures: On April 8, the ten - year T2506 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 109.37 and 109.68 yuan and support at 109.16 and 108.90 yuan; the thirty - year TL2506 is also likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 121.7 and 122.0 yuan and support at 120.7 and 120.1 yuan [3][36][40]. - Commodity Futures: - Gold: On April 8, AU2506 is likely to oscillate weakly with support at 706.9 and 701.0 yuan/gram and resistance at 728.0 and 732.3 yuan/gram. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 750.0 and 780.0 yuan/gram and support at 700.0 and 691.8 yuan/gram [40][41]. - Silver: On April 8, AG2506 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 7827 and 7846 yuan/kg and support at 7614 and 7535 yuan/kg. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate weakly [46][47]. - Copper: On April 8, CU2505 is likely to oscillate weakly and may test support at 72100 and 71400 yuan/ton with resistance at 74700 and 76000 yuan/ton. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate weakly [52]. - Aluminum: On April 8, AL2505 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 19980 and 20130 yuan/ton and support at 19650 and 19500 yuan/ton. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate weakly [58]. - Nickel: On April 8, NI2505 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 121700 and 123300 yuan/ton and support at 117500 and 115450 yuan/ton. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate weakly [62]. - Tin: On April 8, SN2505 is likely to oscillate widely with support at 263600 and 262600 yuan/ton and resistance at 275000 and 277200 yuan/ton. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate widely [69]. - Rebar: On April 8, RB2510 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 3180 and 3202 yuan/ton and support at 3140 and 3113 yuan/ton. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate weakly [72]. - Hot - Rolled Coil: On April 8, HC2510 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 3300 and 3323 yuan/ton and support at 3240 and 3210 yuan/ton [77]. - Iron Ore: On April 8, I2509 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 732 and 737 yuan/ton and support at 716 and 710 yuan/ton. In April 2025, it is likely to oscillate weakly [79]. - Glass: On April 8, FG505 is likely to oscillate strongly with resistance at 1217 and 1243 yuan/ton and support at 1185 and 1159 yuan/ton [83]. - Natural Rubber: On April 8, RU2509 is likely to oscillate weakly and may test support at 14450 and 14320 yuan/ton with resistance at 15200 and 15580 yuan/ton [84]. - 20 - Number Rubber: On April 8, NR2505 is likely to oscillate weakly and may test support at 12370 and 12210 yuan/ton with resistance at 13050 and 13200 yuan/ton [86][87]. Macro - Information and Trading Tips - Policy signals include potential monetary policy adjustments like reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, and expansionary fiscal policies. The government aims to boost domestic consumption, stabilize the capital market, and relevant policies are expected to be rolled out [6]. - As of the end of March, China's foreign exchange reserves reached 32407 billion US dollars, up 134 billion US dollars from February, with an increase of 0.42%. The official gold reserve was 73.7 million ounces, an increase of 90,000 ounces from February [7]. - The EU plans to impose a 25% tariff on a series of US - imported goods starting from May 16, 2025, while removing American bourbon whiskey from the counter - tariff list [9]. - Goldman Sachs raised the probability of the US economy slipping into recession in the next 12 months from 35% to 45% and lowered the GDP growth forecast for Q4 2025 from 1.0% to 0.5% [9].