Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The recent imposition of tariffs by the U.S. is expected to significantly impact the export of energy storage batteries from China, while the direct export of power batteries and new energy vehicles will be less affected [2][4] - In 2024, China's export scale of power and energy storage batteries is projected to reach 197.1 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 29.2%, where power and energy storage batteries account for 68% and 32% respectively [2] - The tariffs on lithium batteries exported to the U.S. have reached high levels, with power batteries facing a tariff of 82.4% and energy storage batteries at 64.9% [3] - The U.S. battery industry has a high degree of reliance on foreign supply, providing an opportunity for Chinese companies to maintain competitive advantages in the industry [5] Summary by Sections Tariff Impact - The recent tariffs will lead to a significant increase in export prices for batteries, with energy storage batteries being more affected than power batteries [3][4] - The U.S. is still the largest export market for Chinese lithium batteries, accounting for 25% of total exports [2] Market Dynamics - The U.S. domestic battery production capacity is limited, creating a gap of over 20 GWh, which Chinese companies can fill [5] - The technology for lithium iron phosphate, a key material for energy storage batteries, is primarily controlled by Chinese manufacturers, giving them a competitive edge [5] Future Outlook - Chinese lithium battery companies are actively expanding overseas to mitigate the impact of tariffs, establishing production capacities in regions with lower tax rates [5][10] - The overall market for energy storage batteries is expected to grow, with significant demand projected in the coming years [4]
电力设备及新能源行业:储能电池受加征关税政策影响,产业链主导+出海有望维持我国企业竞争优势
Dongxing Securities·2025-04-08 04:07