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长期的力量:调整偿付能力,拓宽权益投资空间
Minsheng Securities·2025-04-08 07:42

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance industry, indicating a potential increase in stock prices relative to benchmark indices by over 15% [6][18]. Core Insights - The recent notification from the National Financial Supervision Administration optimizes the regulatory policy for insurance funds, increasing the equity investment ratio by 5% for certain solvency levels, which is expected to enhance the flexibility of equity investments and support capital market development [3][4]. - The theoretical potential for equity allocation among major listed insurance companies is significant, with a total potential increase of approximately 47,504 billion yuan across the sector [5][8]. - The adjustment in regulatory requirements is anticipated to facilitate long-term capital entering the market, thereby promoting stable development in the capital market and allowing insurance companies to benefit from market growth [6][7]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - The notification simplifies the standards for solvency ratios and increases the upper limits for equity asset allocation for companies with solvency ratios in the ranges of [150%,200%), [250%,300%), and above 350% by 5% [3][8]. - It also raises the concentration ratio for venture capital investments and relaxes the regulatory requirements for tax-deferred pension accounts, enhancing investment flexibility [3]. Financial Metrics - As of the end of 2024, major listed insurance companies have total assets of 67,695 billion yuan (China Life), 129,578 billion yuan (Ping An), and others, with solvency ratios ranging from 186.0% to 281.0% [4][5]. - The theoretical increase in equity investment capacity for China Taiping, China Re, and China Pacific is estimated at 1,417 billion yuan, 883 billion yuan, and 867 billion yuan respectively, totaling approximately 3,168 billion yuan [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the insurance sector, particularly leading companies with larger investable assets and robust investment capabilities, will benefit significantly from the regulatory changes [6][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring market conditions and suggests a focus on companies like China Taiping, China Re, and others for potential investment opportunities [6][7].