Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [5][10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 42% in 2024, driven by significant growth in online channels [5]. - The company reported a revenue of RMB 55.4 billion for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 57.2%, with a net profit of RMB 21.5 billion, up 42.1% year-over-year [7]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of RMB 0.6021 per share, with a special dividend of RMB 0.5921, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 2.1% based on the latest closing price [7]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected to be RMB 30.0 billion for the second half, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 56.3%, with a net profit of RMB 10.8 billion, up 37.5% [7]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is reported at 82.1%, a slight decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to product category expansion and increased costs [7]. - The total revenue for the company is forecasted to reach RMB 72.9 billion by 2025, with net profits expected to grow to RMB 26.5 billion [9][12]. Product and Sales Performance - The company’s main brand, 可复美, achieved revenue of RMB 45.4 billion in 2024, marking a year-over-year increase of 62.9%, with strong sales during major promotional events [7]. - Online sales channels have become a significant growth driver, with the company reporting over 60% and 100% growth in GMV during the "618" and "Double Eleven" promotions, respectively [7]. - The company’s online direct sales revenue accounted for 72% of total revenue, an increase of 6 percentage points year-over-year [7]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of RMB 32.9 billion and RMB 40.2 billion in 2026 and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 3.20 and RMB 3.91 [9][12]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 22X in 2025 to 15X in 2027, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [7][9].
巨子生物：2024年净利增长42%，线上渠道增长显着-20250408