Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future returns [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.38 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 55%, but reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 0.1 billion yuan, marking a shift from profit to loss [1][2]. - The revenue growth is driven by advancements in core technologies, an expanding product range, and increasing domestic substitution demand, leading to a growing customer base and order volume [2][3]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment to 500 million yuan in 2024, a 118% increase year-on-year, which has temporarily pressured profit margins [2][3]. - The company’s product revenue is expected to continue to grow rapidly, with a forecasted net profit of 2.47 billion yuan in 2025, 3.64 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.74 billion yuan in 2027 [3][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.38 billion yuan, with a quarterly revenue of 570 million yuan in Q4, showing an 87% year-on-year increase [1][2]. - The gross margin for testing equipment was 52.5%, while for measurement equipment it was 37.5%, indicating a slight improvement in profitability [2]. R&D and Product Development - The company is focused on rapid product iteration and has developed a diverse product portfolio to meet the needs of various integrated circuit clients, including those in advanced packaging and semiconductor materials [3]. - Seven out of nine product series have entered mass production, with increasing market share among leading domestic clients [3]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s financial projections indicate a continued increase in revenue, with expected revenues of 2.03 billion yuan in 2025 and 2.8 billion yuan in 2026 [5][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in net profit margins, with a projected return on equity (ROE) of 9.21% in 2025 and 11.93% in 2026 [12]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 184 in 2023 to 45 by 2027, reflecting an expected improvement in profitability [12][13]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 10.7 in 2023 to 7.1 in 2027, indicating a more favorable valuation as earnings improve [12][13].
中科飞测(688361):2024年营收实现高增长,看好国产替代加速、业绩放量可期