市场情绪波动，优质内需回调买入良机

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [17]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the home furnishing sector is primarily driven by domestic demand, with improving fundamentals and low valuations. The report suggests that the industry is at a turning point, with many companies currently valued at historical lows, presenting a buying opportunity [2]. - In the consumer discretionary sector, companies with low exposure to foreign markets are expected to benefit from industry recovery and consumption promotion policies. Specific companies are highlighted for their growth potential [3]. - The paper industry is anticipated to see cost increases due to tariffs on imported wood pulp, which may benefit domestic high-end corrugated paper manufacturers. The report suggests that domestic companies can adjust their supply chains to mitigate cost impacts [4]. - The metal packaging sector is primarily focused on domestic demand, with companies actively exploring Southeast Asian markets. The report predicts that as domestic demand recovers, the industry's profitability is likely to improve [4]. Summary by Sections Home Furnishing - Domestic sales are the main focus, with companies like 欧派家居 (13x PE), 索菲亚 (11x), and 志邦家居 (9x) highlighted for their low valuations and potential for growth. The report notes that the domestic market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in the second-hand housing sector [2]. Consumer Discretionary - Companies such as 晨光股份 (16x), 登康口腔 (31x), and 稳健医疗 (22x) are recommended due to their low foreign sales exposure and strong growth prospects driven by domestic consumption and strategic initiatives [3]. Paper Industry - The report discusses the impact of tariffs on imported wood pulp, suggesting that domestic high-end corrugated paper manufacturers like 山鹰国际 (16x) and 太阳纸业 (11x) may benefit from a potential demand gap created by these tariffs [4]. Metal Packaging - The report highlights that companies like 奥瑞金 (12x) and 昇兴股份 (10x) are primarily focused on domestic sales, with limited foreign exposure. The expectation is that as domestic demand improves, the industry's profitability will also recover [4].