宝城期货甲醇早报-20250409

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report Core Viewpoints - The methanol 2505 contract is expected to maintain a weakly oscillating trend on Wednesday, with a bearish sentiment prevailing and a weak operation [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Related Content Price Performance - The domestic methanol futures 2505 contract showed limited upward momentum on Tuesday night, closing slightly lower by 0.33% at 2,381 yuan/ton [5] Market Outlook - Short - term view: The methanol 2505 contract is in a downward trend [1] - Medium - term view: The methanol 2505 contract is expected to oscillate weakly [1][5] - Intraday view: The methanol 2505 contract is expected to oscillate weakly [5] Driving Logic - Seasonal maintenance is favorable for methanol, but the strength is weaker compared to the same period in previous years. The spring maintenance scale has been shrinking in recent years, and it is expected to drop to 5 million tons this year [5] - The global economy may face a recession due to high - tariff measures initiated by the United States, which may intensify international trade disputes. During the Tomb - sweeping Festival holiday, China's counter - tariff measures against the US led to a significant decline in the prices of overseas stock markets, crude oil, natural gas, and other commodities. The threat of an additional 50% tariff on China by the US has intensified the expectation of an escalation of the trade war [5]