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道恩股份(002838):2024年利润修复,DVA产业化进程提速

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a profit recovery in 2024, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit projected for the coming years [2][5] - The DVA (Dynamic Vapor Absorption) technology is nearing industrialization, with promising applications in tire manufacturing, which could enhance the company's market position [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.65%, and a net profit of 141 million yuan, up 0.67% year-on-year [2][9] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.532 billion yuan, representing a 29.77% year-on-year growth and a 5.87% quarter-on-quarter increase [2] Product Sales and Margins - The sales volume of key products such as modified plastics, thermoplastic elastomers, and color masterbatches increased in 2024, with respective sales volumes of 38.80, 4.72, and 2.60 million tons [3] - The gross margin for Q4 improved to 13.42%, an increase of 2.28 percentage points from Q3 [3] Research and Development - The company has made significant advancements in DVA technology, which is expected to start mass testing in early 2025, positioning it as a leader in this innovative field [4] - The company has increased its R&D expenditure by 39.75% in 2024, reflecting a commitment to innovation and product development [3] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 57.03 billion yuan, 64.51 billion yuan, and 76.20 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 2.06 billion yuan, 3.06 billion yuan, and 4.41 billion yuan [5][9] - The expected EPS for the same years is 0.45 yuan, 0.67 yuan, and 0.97 yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [5][9]