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山东玻纤:Q4利润扭亏为盈,看好25年价格修复+产能释放带来业绩弹性-20250410

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit of 2.006 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant turnaround in Q4, where it reported a net profit of 12 million yuan, indicating a recovery trend [1][2] - The glass fiber business experienced a decline in both volume and price, with revenues dropping to 1.55 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.2% year-on-year, while the thermal power business showed strong growth with an 18.65% increase in revenue [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from price recovery and capacity release in 2025, with a projected net profit of 80 million yuan for 2025 and 130 million yuan for 2026 [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 2.00586 billion yuan, down 8.89% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 8.11%, a decrease of 2.33 percentage points [4][7] - The company’s operating cash flow was 162 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 38.5 million yuan year-on-year, but the cash collection ratio improved to 77% [4][19] - The company’s total assets reached 7.138 billion yuan in 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 63.18%, an increase of 5.13 percentage points from the previous year [4][19]